The interesting thing about markets, just when you think you have figured them out, they do the opposite. Just six trading days ago the precious metals looked ready to run; we reversed our silver position to long. Since the peak on August 12th the metals have closed lower every day.

Therefore, the price action is important as it gives you a better handle on markets and takes away chasing the news cycle. There are many reasons that gold, silver, and platinum should be rallying but they are not. The price action told us that there is no hurry to be a buyer.

Markets have many factors that make them move, but one that is never important is the news cycle. Any news that would drive markets is always priced in before you see it. The flow of information is well ahead of reported news. Do yourself a favor, quit guessing or trying to outsmart the market and let price be your guide.

Precious metals should be owned on a physical basis with capital that is not needed tomorrow or anytime soon. Trading should be done with paper knowing that we can trade either side without emotions.

In all markets price action determines what will happen in the next day, week, or months. Keep the two strategies separate, the worst trade anyone can make is turning a trade into an investment hoping for a way out. Traders must learn to take their losses and move on to the next trade.

Patience, discipline, and money management always win the day. Let the map of the markets show you the way.

Todd Horwitz Chief Strategist
Stop being a prophet and make profits

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