Bubba’s Equity Portfolios Weekly Update 1/27/2024

The cash S&P 500 was +50.26 for the week closing at a new historic high. Stocks will go higher until they don’t. There is not one person that can forecast the market consistently and the reason is the market forecasts itself.

Your ego must be put aside when you accept the fact that price action forecasts itself. When prices go up- you go long. We have been long most of the time since the October 2023 lows. Buyers have overwhelmed sellers since then and until prices decline (which they have not) we will not see a trend change.

All the big money in trading is made by riding long term moves from beginning to end. Sadly, about 3 out of 100 traders are able to do that. The ones that do- get very rich. Most traders go for nickels and dimes- but not trend followers.

1A made a new historic high equity weekly close and two of the three Model Portfolios were higher for the week.

New trade alert

Reverse XLE to long (1A/2A/3A)

We rely on price and only price and this accounts for our long term profitability. Simply go with the flow and you will prosper regardless of everything else that goes into what makes markets. Price is reality- not trader’s opinions or forecasts.

We never know the exact date when the drawdown ends and we re-start the profit motor and make new highs. If you are not in the market, you cannot expect to make a profit.

Amateur traders are always looking for the “why” in trading when they should only focus of the “that” because we don’t know whys- but we do know the that. If a market is making higher highs and higher lows, “that” is the very definition of an uptrend. We usually will never know “why” a market does anything. Most losers in the markets think they must have reasons for making a trade based on all kinds of subjective junk. Not us.

Our method is objective, and 100% rule based. There is nothing to understand other than what the algorithm is telling us. Follow the rules and make money- it’s that simple.

Here is the formula we use

For a Long Position
Buy the at the money Call
Sell a Put Spread starting with the at the money Put and using the recommended
distance for the Put Spread

For a short Position
Buy the at the money Put
Sell a Call Spread starting with the at the money Call and using the recommended distance for the Call Spread

ATM = At the Money
Long Put = Short Call Spread
Long Call = Short Put Spread

Remember the Groups are only updated once a week, although we have new trades during the week, changes to the Portfolios are only reflected on Saturday.