Futures Micro and Mini Portfolios Weekly Update
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Two of the Five Model Portfolios made money this week. While there were some sharp moves, diversification calmed down the equity movement precisely as was designed.
The key is consistency and discipline as always. Some ask what does your algorithm pay attention to? The best way of answering that question is what it doesn’t pay attention to. You see, the algorithm looks at significant chart points, price, and time. News, fundamentals and all forms and variations of technical analysis are totally and completely ignored.
There are eight (8) Mega-Trades in progress right now which is a good solid number. Trading is mostly about psychology- not indicators and fundamentals, etc. Winning trend traders have willingly surrendered to the market to make money and have left their egos, opinions, and analysis behind.
We make money by surrendering to what the market is doing- if we are in an uptrend we are long and if we are in a downtrend we are short. How simple a concept- yet 97% of all traders are unable or unwilling to grasp it.
The algorithm does not pick “turning points” per se, but it does get aboard a new trend quickly because that is what it was designed to do. Remember, we are trying to “mirror the market” and we do that by doing what the market is doing. If we are long and the market is going down, at some point, we will get short, etc. You may not like the fact that at times it seems we are late to the party, but that is a misperception and all I can say to that is: stay disciplined and follow the rules.
Our performance is not based on “forecasting” or “analysis” but rather what a price of a commodity is doing right now. The words “too high” or “two low” are not in our dictionary because no one knows what “too high” or “too low” is in trading- although the multitude of foolish losing traders think they do.
We make big money by being long term position trend traders- nothing more-nothing less. You need to be 100% disciplined to replicate the Model Portfolios and the more you deviate from full discipline, the worse your performance.
***New Trade Alert***
Reverse Dec Wheat to long from short (28k/17k/5k new)
Trades can be entered during the electronic night session or in the morning. There is some flexibility in terms of when you enter a new trade and this is because our profits are not marginal. Trade prices shown on the Model Portfolio spreadsheet are what I get for my own trades. Yours can be better or worse.
Don’t be shortsighted and look at one day or one week, this is about the long run, our returns are the best in the industry, history tells us if we follow the model and the rules we make lots of money.