Futures Micro and Mini Portfolios Weekly Update
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With the late moves in a number of markets on Thursday, five of the Model Portfolios had gains for the week and several had very nice gains, In fact, the tiny 5k (old) Model Portfolio is making a moon-shot after a horrific drawdown which proves once again that all drawdowns are followed by new equity highs. Those that were rational enough to press it have greatly benefited from the rebound.
I notice that some of you are obsessed with particular trades in your Model Portfolio and you simply cannot be. The reason is, we are trading a portfolio of markets- not a market. You need only concern yourself with total equity which is the only measure that counts. The method was designed for adequate diversification among semi-uncorrelated asset classes, and if you don’t understand that, you should be trading along with the algorithm.
The algorithm does not pick “turning points” per se, but it does get aboard a new trend fairly quickly because that is what it was designed to do. Remember, we are trying to “mirror the market” and we do that by doing what the market is doing. If we are long and the market is going down, at some point, we will get short, etc. You may not like the fact that at times it seems we are late to the party, but that is a misperception and all I can say to that is: stay disciplined and follow the rules.
Our performance is not based on “forecasting” or “analysis” but rather what a price of a commodity is doing right now. The words “too high” or “two low” are not in our dictionary because no one knows what “too high” or “too low” is in trading- although the multitude of foolish losing traders think they do.
We make big money by being long term position trend traders- nothing more-nothing less. You need to be 100% disciplined to replicate the Model Portfolios and the more you deviate from full discipline, the worse your performance.
***New Trade Alert***
Trades can be entered during the electronic night session or in the morning. There is some flexibility in terms of when you enter a new trade and this is because our profits are not marginal. Trade prices shown on the Model Portfolio spreadsheet are what I get for my own trades. Yours can be better or worse.
Don’t be shortsighted and look at one day or one week, this is about the long run, our returns are the best in the industry, history tells us if we follow the model and the rules we make lots of money.