Futures Micro and Mini Portfolios Weekly Update
After a highly volatile week in many markets, five of the seven Model Portfolios had gains and two of them set all-time high weekly closing equity marks. The 16k and 72k Model Portfolios (in particular) showed us once again they we do not need to “forecast” or “analyze” to make money.
Look at the trading results of the 72k Model Portfolio (now 84k because of margin increases) since the end of the drawdown on 10/25/2019. It has gained $54,620.50 in closed and open trade equity which means if you started with 84k to trade it in November of last year, you are up 65%. And remember, this percentage gain is based on taking the actual margin and multiplying it by three. On a return on margin (ROM) basis, the 84k Model Portfolio is up 194.8% since the end of the drawdown.
I generally do not comment about individual markets, but today I will make an exception. We have literally made a killing being long gold since the initial buy signal 12/24/2019 when gold broke out of a basing congestion pattern. Right now, we have an open trade profit of $13,88.00 per contract. When does the gold run end? Who knows- not traders or investors including me. The gold market knows and the good news is that it will tell us (we don’t tell it) when the run is over. The trend is over when we start making lower highs and lower lows. In other words, gold at some point will do the opposite of what it is doing now. And guess what, we will be short gold because gold will tell us on a probability basis, that it is going lower.
We make money by being long term position trend traders- nothing more-nothing less. You need to be 100% disciplined to replicate the Model Portfolios and the more you deviate from full discipline, the worse your performance.
**Trades can be entered during the electronic night session or in the morning. However, in volatile stock index and currency markets, you should enter a trade as soon as possible
-meaning the beginning of the electronic night session as it will tend to be a more profitable entry point. Trades shown in the Model Portfolio spreadsheet are the fills I get for my own trades. Your trade entries can be better or worse.